Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 30 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Candace Parker | 30 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| A. Beard | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Coleman | 25 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| L. Harding | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 38 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| L. Whalen | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| S. Augustus | 35 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| R. Brunson | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. McCarville | 27 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| D. Peters | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Wright | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Jarry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter