Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (94-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| K. Smith | 29 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Braxton | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Williams | 21 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| P. Pierson | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Bone | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 12 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Young | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Bonner | 31 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B. Butler | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Griner | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Houston | 16 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| P. Taylor | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| L. Kizer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter