Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +19 (88-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 25 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 24 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 26 | 9-15 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Liz Cambage | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Angel Goodrich | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 31 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 27 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 14 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sydney Carter | 23 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter