Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Whalen | 33 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| J. McCarville | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| R. Brunson | 29 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| S. Augustus | 28 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| M. Moore | 28 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Wright | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Peters | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 38 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 8-9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| C. Dupree | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 8-24 | 3-14 | 7-9 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 10 | - |
| B. Butler | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Houston | 26 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| K. Thomas | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. James | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter