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2013-07-20

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Margin 70.5% 29.5% -4.8 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.7% 38.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.4% 19.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 35 4-9 0-0 2-2 2 8 0 0 1 10 10 -
Nneka Ogwumike 34 10-14 0-1 4-4 9 0 2 2 6 24 17 -
A. Beard 29 4-11 0-1 0-0 5 2 4 1 2 8 7 -
Kristi Toliver 26 3-6 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
Candace Parker 24 3-11 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 7 -1 -
J. O'Hea 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 4 -
E. Hoffman 19 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 4 4 1 2 6 10 -
M. Coleman 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Mathies 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jantel Lavender 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Little 38 6-8 0-1 10-11 2 2 2 0 3 22 17 -
T. Thompson 31 4-11 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 2 2 9 6 -
T. Wright 30 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 4 4 3 -
T. Johnson 30 4-7 1-2 2-2 5 5 3 0 3 11 14 -
S. Stricklen 28 6-16 1-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 13 1 -
N. Quinn 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 1 2 0 4 -
Alysha Clark 15 1-4 0-1 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Tianna Hawkins 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Robinson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter