Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. White | 31 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 31 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Tina Charles | 29 | 7-23 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| K. Griffin | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| K. Greene | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| I. Castro | 22 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| M. Bass | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Carter | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 38 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 36 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 31 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Butler | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Houston | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. James | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter