Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +6 (64-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 34 | 2-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 30 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -2 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 25 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tan White | 16 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glory Johnson * | 26 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Angel Goodrich * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Liz Cambage * | 24 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 16 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter