Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -16 (71-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 26 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 17 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Monica Wright | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Amber Harris | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rachel Jarry | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindsey Moore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jia Perkins * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 22 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 27 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter