Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -19 (70-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| D. Bonner | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| B. Griner | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| B. Butler | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Houston | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -5 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| P. Taylor | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Thomas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Kizer | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 35 | 3-18 | 0-0 | 19-24 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| A. Hightower | 31 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| I. Castro | 26 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| K. Greene | 24 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Carter | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Griffin | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Faris | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Bass | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter