Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -6 (84-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 33 | 8-17 | 1-9 | 15-17 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Briana Butler * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 19 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Charde Houston | 28 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 35 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 13-16 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 33 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 18 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter