Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +21 (77-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Goodrich | 37 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Powell | 31 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 24 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| L. Cambage | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 13-14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 14 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Hodges | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Paris | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Lacy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 35 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 32 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| B. Griner | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| B. Butler | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Houston | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Thomas | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. James | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter