Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +11 (74-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Griffin * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tan White | 17 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matee Ajavon * | 32 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 31 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tayler Hill | 12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nadirah McKenith | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter