Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.0% | 14.0% | -10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -18 (67-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 27 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 25 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Candace Parker | 25 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Coleman | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Beard | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| F. Abdi | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Mathies | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| P. Pierson | 29 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| K. Braxton | 27 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Smith | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Bone | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Williams | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Young | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Jeffery | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter