Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -18 (67-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 24 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 24 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 26 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Farhiya Abdi | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 30 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 27 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kamiko Williams * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Toni Young | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chucky Jeffery | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter