Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cambage | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 23 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 32 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Powell | 23 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| G. Johnson | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Hodges | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 17 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Paris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lacy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 35 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| D. Bonner | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Butler | 21 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Kizer | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| K. Thomas | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Houston | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. James | 13 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter