Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -4 (75-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matee Ajavon * | 32 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 30 | 9-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 28 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nadirah McKenith | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tayler Hill | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 35 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 33 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Amber Harris * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Monica Wright | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter