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2013-05-31

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% - โœ“
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.0% 42.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Skylar Diggins-Smith * 42 2-11 2-6 1-2 3 2 2 0 5 7 -2 -
Candice Wiggins * 40 1-8 1-5 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 5 3 -
Glory Johnson * 31 5-14 0-1 7-10 11 2 2 0 2 17 16 -
Roneeka Hodges * 30 2-9 1-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 0 -
Liz Cambage * 26 5-12 0-0 12-13 6 1 1 3 1 22 20 -
Nicole Powell 22 4-12 3-8 0-0 9 1 2 1 3 11 9 -
Kayla Pedersen 18 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 1 4 5 -
Jennifer Lacy 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cappie Pondexter * 40 6-14 0-2 1-3 8 6 0 0 6 13 7 -
Essence Carson * 35 8-14 0-2 2-4 5 2 1 1 4 18 9 -
Plenette Pierson * 30 3-8 0-0 2-4 6 2 0 3 3 8 8 -
Kara Braxton * 30 6-10 0-0 0-0 8 1 5 2 2 12 16 -
Kamiko Williams * 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 -
Kelsey Bone 19 4-6 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 1 3 8 6 -
Katie Smith 19 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 7 -
Alex Montgomery 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
Leilani Mitchell 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Toni Young 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 -

* = starter