Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bentley * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 36 | 7-20 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 35 | 9-24 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Clements | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter