Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 33 | 8-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. White | 29 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -2 | - |
| I. Castro | 24 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| M. Bass | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Greene | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Carter | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beard | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| L. Harding | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Candace Parker | 32 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 27 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Coleman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Mathies | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter