Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +13 (91-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 33 | 8-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Tan White * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 24 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Sydney Carter | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 32 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 26 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter