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2013-05-27

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 11.6% 88.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 11.4% 88.6% - โœ—
Margin 7.0% 93.0% +14.2 โœ— (36.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.7% 70.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 6.2% 93.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 21.0% 79.0% - โœ—

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -22 (80-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elena Delle Donne * 34 9-21 2-3 2-2 8 2 0 4 1 22 14 -
Epiphanny Prince * 32 9-15 6-9 2-2 3 5 4 0 2 26 21 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 30 3-9 0-1 8-8 3 3 2 1 1 14 13 -
Swin Cash * 24 3-7 0-2 1-1 7 2 0 0 1 7 8 -
Sylvia Fowles * 21 3-5 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 0 3 9 11 -
Carolyn Swords 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 8 11 -
Tamera Young 15 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 10 8 -
Sharnee Zoll-Norman 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
Shay Murphy 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Michelle Campbell 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Allie Quigley 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree * 36 6-17 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 1 2 15 2 -
Diana Taurasi * 34 5-11 2-5 6-6 1 4 1 1 4 18 10 -
DeWanna Bonner * 30 4-12 1-4 4-5 7 1 0 0 0 13 9 -
Brittney Griner * 27 7-11 0-0 3-3 8 1 1 4 2 17 18 -
Samantha Prahalis * 27 3-9 0-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 6 1 -
Charde Houston 15 3-4 1-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
Krystal Thomas 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
Alexis Hornbuckle 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 3 -
Lynetta Kizer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Briana Butler 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter