Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +10 (79-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 29 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tayler Hill | 22 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Nadirah McKenith | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 40 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter