Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +22 (86-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 25 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 23 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Latta * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Tayler Hill | 17 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nadirah McKenith | 16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter