Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +9 (88-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glory Johnson * | 31 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 30 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 16 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Angel Goodrich | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 33 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 31 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Monica Wright | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Amber Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindsey Moore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rachel Jarry | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter