Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.1 | ✗ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 39 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 34 | 5-16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 27 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 41 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 33 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kamiko Williams * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 35 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Toni Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter