Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -1 (77-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 39 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 34 | 5-16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 27 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 41 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 33 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kamiko Williams * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 35 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Toni Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter