Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -26 (47-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 32 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Monica Wright | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Rachel Jarry | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lindsey Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Amber Harris | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 34 | 5-17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Kamiko Williams * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Toni Young | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter