Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -12 (76-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 36 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Parker | 33 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | - |
| K. Toliver | 28 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Beard | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Coleman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Lavender | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Mathies | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 39 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 38 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 9 | - |
| B. Butler | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Houston | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Thomas | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter