Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (86-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jia Perkins * | 34 | 7-18 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 22 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 17 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 35 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 33 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 26 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Sydney Carter | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter