Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +2 (90-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glory Johnson * | 42 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 40 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Angel Goodrich * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Liz Cambage * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 26 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 27 | 6-16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith | 25 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 46 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 40 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 33 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -3 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 31 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter