Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -8 (66-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plenette Pierson * | 31 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 30 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kamiko Williams * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Toni Young | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalana Greene * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 34 | 9-14 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Tan White * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 31 | 7-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Carter | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter