Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (90-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Latta * | 34 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tayler Hill * | 17 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 22 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 29 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 10-11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 26 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Briana Butler * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Charde Houston | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter