Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +10 (111-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Gibson * | 44 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 44 | 4-18 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 40 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 15 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 24 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 44 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 23 | - |
| George Hill * | 38 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| David West * | 36 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sam Young | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter