Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Moore | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
| S. Augustus | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Wright | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| L. Whalen | 24 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Peters | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| E. Thorn | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Adair | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zellous | 35 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Briann January | 34 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| E. Phillips | 32 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| E. Larkins | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 22 | - |
| T. Catchings | 23 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Davenport | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter