Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +1.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -11 (57-68). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).