Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | +13.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers +9 (73-64). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).