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2012-09-27

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 34 3-16 0-4 8-8 5 6 4 0 2 14 11 -
N. Powell 32 4-11 3-8 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
P. Pierson 31 5-13 0-0 3-3 9 1 0 0 1 13 9 -
E. Carson 27 2-12 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 5 -5 -
K. Vaughn 24 3-9 0-0 1-1 8 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
K. Braxton 16 2-8 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
A. Montgomery 14 1-5 1-4 3-4 4 0 2 0 0 6 7 -
L. Mitchell 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
D. Walker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lawson 35 3-9 2-5 0-0 6 5 1 0 4 8 7 -
T. Charles 33 8-17 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 4 1 17 7 -
A. Hightower 29 3-7 1-2 2-2 5 5 1 0 2 9 11 -
A. Jones 29 5-12 0-1 0-0 9 4 0 0 1 10 10 -
T. White 20 3-8 0-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 6 4 -
R. Montgomery 20 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
M. Bass 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
K. Greene 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
D. McCray 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter