Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +5 (65-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 33 | 3-16 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 26 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kara Lawson * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tan White | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter