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2012-09-30

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 76.3% 23.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 73.7% 26.3% - โœ—
Margin 82.2% 17.8% -8.4 โœ— (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 88.1% 11.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 68.2% 31.8% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maya Moore * 44 5-17 2-7 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 12 6 -
Lindsay Whalen * 42 2-15 0-2 6-6 4 5 2 0 3 10 3 -
Seimone Augustus * 42 6-16 1-4 7-9 7 0 3 1 4 20 11 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 39 9-15 0-0 4-5 15 0 1 0 3 22 20 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 27 2-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 2 2 6 8 -
Monica Wright 24 1-4 0-1 5-6 4 2 2 1 3 7 9 -
Candice Wiggins 20 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Devereaux Peters 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Smith * 43 2-6 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 7 3 -
Sue Bird * 43 8-15 4-7 2-2 1 7 4 0 3 22 16 -
Tanisha Wright * 41 5-8 1-2 7-7 2 7 2 0 3 18 18 -
Lauren Jackson * 33 4-17 1-5 0-2 14 0 1 2 1 9 8 -
Camille Smith * 32 5-11 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 0 2 12 7 -
Tina Thompson 26 4-11 1-2 1-2 9 0 0 0 3 10 5 -
Shekinna Stricklen 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 3 0 2 5 8 -
Ann Wauters 8 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter