Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.5% | 19.5% | -7.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -7 (94-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 38 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 37 | 11-20 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 27 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 29 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nicky Anosike | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 36 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 23 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 26 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 18 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter