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2012-09-27

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Silver Stars Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +7 (93-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Silver Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hammon 34 8-15 3-8 0-0 3 6 1 0 3 19 11 -
S. Young-Malcolm 34 6-13 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 12 2 -
Danielle Robinson 33 5-10 0-0 6-6 5 4 1 0 3 16 13 -
S. Christon 25 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
D. Adams 25 6-11 1-5 4-5 5 1 2 0 1 17 13 -
J. Perkins 16 3-9 2-4 0-0 0 3 4 1 0 8 7 -
J. Appel-Marinelli 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 0 2 10 -
S. Johnson 12 2-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
T. Smith 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristi Toliver 37 8-16 3-4 10-10 1 2 1 0 2 29 15 -
A. Beard 36 8-13 0-0 2-4 1 3 2 0 1 18 10 -
Candace Parker 33 9-18 0-2 7-8 9 2 0 1 2 25 17 -
Nneka Ogwumike 33 5-9 0-0 2-4 8 0 2 1 1 12 13 -
J. O'Hea 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 4 6 -
D. Milton-Jones 18 1-4 0-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
Jantel Lavender 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Coleman 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Hoffman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter