Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +7 (93-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 25 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 16 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 11 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 36 | 8-16 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 33 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter