Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -11 (88-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 38 | 9-19 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| David Lee * | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 5-16 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 17 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 48 | 7-19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Victor Claver * | 34 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 32 | 12-23 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 30 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
* = starter