Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +20 (118-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Marshall * | 40 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 28 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 23 | 5-17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 20 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi * | 19 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 17 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Diante Garrett | 14 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 25 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 23 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov * | 20 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 11 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Miller | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter