Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -6 (89-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Henson * | 44 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 24 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 22 | 6-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lamb * | 41 | 6-21 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Perry Jones III * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 36 | 8-18 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Orton * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 16 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter