Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -13 (95-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Stiemsma * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 25 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 23 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeJuan Blair * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 21 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Danny Green * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Nando De Colo * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Patty Mills | 8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter