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2013-04-17

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks +6 (98-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Jenkins * 39 8-19 0-6 4-5 3 3 1 0 2 20 6 -
Mike Scott * 36 10-22 0-0 3-3 14 1 0 0 0 23 16 -
Shelvin Mack * 35 6-11 0-3 2-2 4 4 2 0 4 14 9 -
Anthony Tolliver * 32 2-9 2-6 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 8 3 -
Dahntay Jones * 31 3-9 0-0 5-5 6 2 0 0 1 11 9 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 23 1-11 0-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 -4 -
Ivan Johnson * 20 6-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 0 2 12 15 -
Johan Petro * 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 1 2 2 12 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James White * 43 8-15 3-6 1-1 6 3 3 0 2 20 15 -
Steve Novak * 41 1-8 1-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 3 0 -
Chris Copeland * 40 14-29 1-4 4-8 3 1 1 2 3 33 8 -
Iman Shumpert * 38 7-11 1-2 3-3 7 8 2 0 3 18 21 -
Earl Barron * 36 5-14 0-0 1-2 18 2 0 1 1 11 17 -
Quentin Richardson * 28 1-11 1-4 2-2 10 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
Pablo Prigioni * 11 3-3 2-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 8 13 -

* = starter