Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +4 (103-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 35 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 21 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Kim English * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 21 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 20 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tyshawn Taylor | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 10 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
* = starter