Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +24 (114-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 28 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| DJ White * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 24 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Fab Melo * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 14 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shavlik Randolph * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 29 | 8-13 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 25 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Acy * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 18 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter