Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +16 (93-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 40 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Will Barton * | 39 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Victor Claver * | 34 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Joel Freeland * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 24 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 23 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Willie Green | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Grant Hill | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter