Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +10 (116-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Joseph * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nando De Colo * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 26 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 22 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Danny Green * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 38 | 13-23 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 24 | - |
| David Lee * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter